Or was it another plan by the Yoruba elites to return power to South Western region by trying to use the Northern region? Let us take a look at their party formation, then we will know that this is not a progressive people as they claimed to be rather it is a gang up of the bad eggs that left PDP and the Muslim elites to Islamised Nigeria.
Dr Chukwuemeka Pius Ezeife reports says that "CPC headed by Buhari, ACN headed by Yoruba formed a merger and its National Chairman is a Muslim, National Secretary is a Muslim, National Publicity Secretary is a muslim, virtually all national officers are muslims. Whether they revise it tomorrow or not, the indication is very clear. There is nothing to read on the wall; it is already written everywhere. They can amend it to get a two-party system but the way it started gives a gap. Although CPC calls itself Congress for Progressive Change; it is not a progressive party. At the end of 2011 presidential election, many people went to their untimely graves. That is not progressive politics".
With this, one will understand that APC is a gang up of some Muslim elites to take over power but will that work for them? I don't think it will work because there will be a clash of interest between Yoruba elites and the Northern elites including Okorocha led APGA. People are thinking that Tinubu led Yoruba party will allow Buhari to win the presidential ticket in APC or Buhari will allow the Yoruba to get the presidential ticket.
From my calculation which might fall into the United States of American's prediction that Nigeria will disintegrate by 2015 will be a dream comes true if the Yoruba and the Northerners did not forget their presidential ambition in 2015. They know it and every Nigeria knows it even the body language of some Yoruba people will show you that they want a secession in a smart way.
Trouble will start in APC the day they will be holding their presidential primary election because if Tinubu led groups from Yoruba did not win the presidential ticket, they will sabotage the election including the existence of Nigeria and they will not like to support a northerner that won the ticket that is why Femi Fani Kayode said that
" President Goodluck Jonathan and those within his inner circle simply hate the yoruba. And we the yoruba did not resist, fight and defeat the hegemony of other nationalities in the last 100 years just for it to be replaced with Ijaw domination". With this body language of him, one will understand the motives behind the merger of ACN,with CPC and ANPP because Yoruba are not happy or ready to allow any other region to rule Nigeria except them. Can you imagine that? No body is even asking Biafra if they want to rule Nigeria or not.
The same thing applied to Buhari led Northern groups and that will be the end of the acclaimed ideologist of APC. The real war will start if Jonathan did not win the 2015 presidential election, the South-South will declared secession and when that happens, the Igbo led Massob will also declare secession and the Oduduwa republic will not like to be together with the Northerners which will lead them to declare secession. Which means what happened in Balkan will repeat itself in Nigeria history.
Although the Northerners are making noise threatening everybody with war thinking that they have Boko-Haram as their foot-soldiers. Or maybe they are thinking that what happened during the Biafra war when the three supper powers backed them up militarily will happen again, then I will tell this to their faces that they are living in a fools paradise. They should asked themselves if Biafra could withstand the war for 3 years fighting Nigeria, UK, Russia, and USA without any military back up from any country then, don't they think that we are not afraid of their threat.
Our elders says, " Dog that bite does not bark". My advice to president Good-Luck Ebere Jonathan is that he should not get discourage or be afraid with the APC threat or the Northern war drums or the mass exodus of PDP members defecting to APC because they will still move back. With the little he has been doing, it's more than what all the past leaders have done. God is just showing him who is his friends and his enemies. He should know that a friend in grieve is ever lasting treasure. Though I don't belong to any party for the moment and the promise he made to the Igbo's have not been implemented but I support him.
Those who left PDP and him should not be allowed to return back because he is the last man standing. Either they let him finish his second tenure or face disintegration of Nigeria. Although I don't belong to any political part but I support whoever that captures my mind which he Jonathan did. I'm not saying that he is the best but he is trying because of what he inherited from the past leaders. The country was in a mess when he entered there and you don't expect him to perform miracle within the short period of time.
For power to return to South-west or north, that should be in the next 12 years based on my calculations because the Igbo must take over after Jonathan or Nigeria will disintegrate. We have to understand that since the creation of Nigeria, Nigerian political leaders have failed us who'll fully since we got our independence.
Although there is a little change in our today's politics with the emergency of ACN, ANPP, CPC and Okorocha-led APGA leaders coming together to rescue us from bad leaders but their body language does not show us that they have anything new to offer. Rather their body language is showing us individual selfish motives. Does it mean that with the formation of APC they will record this success if they eventually ouster president Good luck Jonathan in 2015?
Well based on my calculation including the calculation of some progressive minded Nigerian, it is going to end up as simply as a formal union of leaders of ACN, ANPP, CPC and Okorocha-led APGA under a new APC but they will end up having internal crisis because of power sharing and position among themselves . I tell you, 98% of the people that defected to APC are looking for one position or the other.
They are not going there because they have something to offer to Nigerian rather they are going there for their selfish interest. The question we Nigeria should ask them is how many of them are doing well or did well in their states or when they had the opportunity to do so? If Buhari and Tinubu are progressive minded people as they claimed, Buhari will not offer himself to be a presidential ticket flag bearer because he made a promise that blood will flow if he lose election in 2011 which is the outcome of Boko-Haram. Or Tinubu when people like Fashola and Okorocha and other young performing governors and ministers are available.
A report says, There are a lot of public suspicions basically suggesting that APC is nothing but rebranding project for the political union of ACN, ANPP, CPC and Okorocha-led APGA which will not produce anything new in Nigerian politics. There is almost a national consensus that it is simply a strategy for 2015 that may not go beyond being a common platform for candidates selection involving ACN, ANPP, CPC and Okorocha-led APGA. The task of organising a strong and competent political organisation coming with mass mobilisation of Nigerians will not be the priorities of APC. With Gen. Muhammadu Buhari intermittently, sometimes without any clear prompting, at least not from the merger negotiation table, re-asserting his availability to serve as a presidential candidate for APC in 2015, the public suspicion of APC being a rebranding strategy continues to gain some credence.
Should that be the case, the birth of APC will not result in anything new in Nigerian politics. It will end up as the continuation of the politics of ACN, ANPP, CPC and Okorocha-led APGA. What is the politics of ACN, ANPP, CPC and Okorocha-led APGA? What is even the prospect that APC can produce a successfully united strategy for ACN, ANPP, CPC and Okorocha-led APGA?" To me, everything is all about a strategy to capture power in 2015. They should stop disturbing our peace.
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